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Supply concerns ticks Oil up ; outshine macro jitters

August 30, 2023 at 4:11 pm | Economic Affairs

Aug, 29(Agencies) — Oil prices climbed slightly up Tuesday following potential supply disruptions as a result of an incoming hurricane hurtling towards U.S. Gulf Coast limited bearish sentiment about the possibility of another U.S. interest rate hike undercutting demand.
Brent crude edged 63 cents higher at $85.05 a barrel by 1026 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude ticked up 57 cents to $80.67 a barrel.
Tropical Storm Idalia lashed western Cuba on Monday and was almost a hurricane as it headed toward Florida. The storm is likely to cause power outages and could impact crude production on the eastern side of the U.S. Gulf Coast.
Jitters follow a fire at a Marathon Petroleum refinery last week, after a chemical leak ignited two giant storage tanks filled with volatile naphtha.
On Monday, the company said it planned to restart units at the 596,000-barrel-per-day (bpd) Garyville, Louisiana, refinery, the third largest in the United States. “Such incidents will remain catalysts in upward movement as the oil community is currently very sensitive to interruptions to any refinery, anywhere in the world,” said John Evans of oil broker PVM.
Meanwhile, Chevron’s two major liquefied natural gas (LNG) production facilities in Australia – that account for more than 5% of global LNG capacity – could face daily work stoppages of up to 10 hours next week after unions on Tuesday threatened labour action in a dispute over pay and conditions.
Power markets will run as a timely ally for a product-led oil rally, added PVM’s Evans.
Still, oil demand worries fester in the world’s two biggest economies – the U.S. and China.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday said the U.S. central bank may need to raise rates further to cool stubborn inflation.
China’s post-pandemic economic recovery has sputtered due to a worsening property slump, weak consumer spending and tumbling credit growth, prompting Beijing to cut key policy rates to shore up activity in the world’s biggest oil importer.
Eyes are also on economic data from key economies later this week to help determine the path of interest rates this year and next.

gin its easing cycle in March 2024,” CBA’s Kong said. “But Powell’s hawkish comments at Jackson Hole suggest the risks are skewed to more tightening and a later start to the easing cycle.”
Elsewhere, traders are keeping a watchful eye on any signs of a possible intervention from Japanese authorities as the yen wallows near a nine-month low against the dollar.

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